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TRACKING THE TROPICS: Heavy rain projected to move in this weekend

Potential tropical system development in the Western Caribbean

MACON, Ga -- A surface low has developed just north of Honduras that has potential to become a tropical depression. Regardless if it turns into a depression or not, the main concern will be with the rainfall.

Over the next 48 hours, conditions in the western Caribbean will be unfavorable for any tropical development. The latest models are projecting this low to move northward into the Gulf of Mexico where conditions will be a bit more favorable, but still uncertain. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system at 40% chance to become a tropical depression by Saturday.

Regardless if it develops into a tropical depression or even storm, we will see an increased amount of rainfall both along the peninsula and the panhandle of Florida over the next week and even into Memorial Day. Four to seven inches of rain will be possible along that coast potentially ruining Memorial Day weekend plans on the Gulf coast of Florida.

Heavy rain is the main threat, but we can't rule out thunderstorms, strong wind and isolated tornadoes if this system passes through the mid-state.

The rain from this system will slow down or move out by the middle of next week.

Stick with us both on-air and online for the latest on the heavy rainfall.

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